Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 1012.548154 1140.508599 1280.032939 1443.721921 1630.829017 1838.410275 2086.676171
2026-01-18 812.064211 984.887188 1189.260269 1449.894287 1775.035287 2169.332409 2686.832736
2026-01-25 711.655763 907.862706 1153.216454 1484.874571 1925.010932 2493.942446 3292.952391
2026-02-01 636.952250 846.123372 1119.711109 1507.465420 2048.853505 2786.737352 3883.681882
2026-02-08 576.306791 792.320746 1085.892149 1519.257811 2151.570914 3054.265004 4465.435159
2026-02-15 528.938837 749.636937 1059.951376 1535.023991 2256.256561 3330.171964 5088.251394
2026-02-22 493.456982 719.006030 1046.168022 1564.127538 2379.964031 3643.497175 5803.908698
2026-03-01 446.595267 666.444515 994.029830 1528.009742 2396.603291 3789.254921 6264.084476
2026-03-08 403.372074 615.038388 938.191629 1479.099820 2385.241933 3885.105890 6647.387620
2026-03-15 366.197587 569.554416 887.081425 1431.834072 2369.856097 3969.636310 7017.164933
2026-03-22 352.229625 559.497584 890.968034 1474.828881 2510.344200 4334.424826 7939.339088
2026-03-29 335.080250 542.639335 881.954767 1494.359930 2610.703897 4637.406765 8783.537952
2026-04-05 316.939997 523.126544 867.598982 1504.511925 2697.725103 4930.516978 9660.310673
2026-04-12 299.736448 503.857367 852.082686 1511.149574 2779.117558 5222.945417 10580.309345
2026-04-19 288.907904 494.652291 853.111913 1547.763780 2920.768671 5648.123064 11841.524297
2026-04-26 277.021419 482.533367 847.738172 1571.414159 3038.876040 6038.925822 13085.880746
2026-05-03 264.531497 468.290981 837.188964 1583.760265 3134.921751 6394.388611 14303.554096
2026-05-10 253.603070 456.045674 829.257532 1600.267469 3240.862315 6782.800891 15658.687687
2026-05-17 245.233721 447.925460 828.395663 1630.741034 3379.371695 7258.995842 17304.124172
2026-05-24 229.412168 424.430450 795.971968 1592.923444 3364.628132 7385.842462 18086.668839
2026-05-31 213.372224 399.426445 758.762609 1541.718537 3314.594518 7424.385882 18644.262751
2026-06-07 198.776863 376.320565 723.740504 1492.242627 3263.533643 7454.556771 19184.637148
2026-06-14 195.022406 374.540883 731.735482 1537.247574 3436.569469 8050.567151 21387.639420